Back to blog
Growth #pricing#growth#founders

Pricing Experiments in 2026: A Founder's Playbook

Pricing is a product decision, not a finance decision. A practical experimentation framework for moving from free interest to paid demand in 2026.

15 min · January 16, 2026 · Updated January 27, 2026
Topic relevant background image

TL;DR

  • Price what you replace (time, revenue, risk), not what you built
  • Run experiments that measure willingness to pay, not “interest”
  • Keep pricing simple until you have a repeatable segment
  • A 1% pricing improvement can increase profits by up to 11%
  • 50% of software companies have never run pricing studies — there’s untapped opportunity
  • Usage-based pricing sees 30% less churn during price changes

The Only Pricing Question That Matters

“What would a user do if your product didn’t exist?”

If the answer is “nothing,” pricing won’t save the product.

If the answer is specific — “hire a contractor,” “use a spreadsheet,” “spend 10 hours a week doing it manually” — you have a pricing anchor.

The Pricing Anchor Principle

Your price should be anchored to what you replace:

What You ReplacePrice Anchor
Manual laborCost of that labor per hour/month
Contractor/agencyTheir monthly retainer
Lost revenuePercentage of revenue recovered
Risk/compliance failureCost of the failure avoided
TimeValue of that time to the buyer

Example: If your automation tool saves 20 hours/month of work that would cost $50/hour, you’re replacing $1,000/month of value. Pricing at $99/month is a 90% discount on the value delivered.


Why Most Companies Don’t Test Pricing (And Should)

Despite pricing being a major growth lever, most companies don’t test it rigorously.

The Data

FindingSource
50% of software companies have never run pricing studiesIrrational Labs survey
Only 25% have A/B tested a pricing changeIrrational Labs survey
1% pricing improvement = up to 11% profit increaseMcKinsey analysis

Why the Gap Exists

BarrierReality
Perceived riskLower than most think; tests can be contained
Technical complexityModern tools make it easier
Difficulty measuring WTPMethods exist; just need to use them
Fear of customer backlashProper framing prevents most issues

The Opportunity

If your competitors aren’t testing pricing, you have an advantage. Price optimization is one of the fastest paths to profitability.


Experiments That Produce Real Signal

Not all pricing experiments are equal. Here’s what actually measures willingness to pay:

Experiment A: Deposit / Paid Pilot

What it is: Charge a small amount before the product is ready.

Why it works: Small payment beats large enthusiasm. Talk is cheap; money is a commitment.

How to run it:

  • Offer early access for a deposit ($50-$500 depending on segment)
  • Deposit applies to future subscription
  • Measure conversion rate and follow-through

Signal quality: Very high — actual money changes hands.

Experiment B: Paywall the Core Outcome

What it is: Make the most valuable output available only after payment.

Why it works: If the core outcome has value, people will pay to repeat it.

How to run it:

  • Let users experience the first outcome free
  • Gate subsequent uses behind payment
  • Measure conversion at the gate

Signal quality: High — tests repeated use value.

Experiment C: Tier Based on Constraints

What it is: Create tiers based on usage limits, not feature differences.

Why it works: Matches payment to value received. Easy to understand.

Constraint types:

  • Number of runs/executions
  • Number of seats/users
  • Amount of data processed
  • Frequency of use

Warning: Avoid “feature soup” tiers early. Complex tiering confuses buyers and complicates testing.

Experiment D: Van Westendorp Price Sensitivity

What it is: Survey methodology to find price range boundaries.

How to run it:

Ask four questions:

  1. At what price would this be too expensive to consider?
  2. At what price would this seem expensive but worth considering?
  3. At what price would this seem like a good deal?
  4. At what price would this seem so cheap you’d question quality?

Analysis: Plot responses to find the optimal price range (intersection points).

Signal quality: Medium — stated preferences, not behavior. Use as input, not decision.

Experiment E: Price Page A/B Test

What it is: Show different prices to different segments and measure conversion.

How to run it:

  • Segment by traffic source, geography, or random assignment
  • Track conversion to paid at each price point
  • Monitor for long-term retention differences

Signal quality: High — actual behavior, but need sufficient volume.

Caution: Be transparent; never charge different prices for the same product without clear justification (geography, annual discount, etc.).


Choosing Your Pricing Model

The 2026 Pricing Model Landscape

ModelHow It WorksBest For
Flat-rateOne price, all featuresSimple products, clear value
Per-seatPrice per userCollaboration tools, team products
TieredMultiple packages with different features/limitsBroad market, distinct segments
Usage-basedPay for what you useInfrastructure, APIs, consumption products
FreemiumFree tier + paid upgradesHigh-volume acquisition needed
HybridPer-seat or flat + usage-based componentComplex value delivery

Usage-Based Pricing Advantages

Recent data shows usage-based pricing has specific benefits:

AdvantageData
Lower churn on price changes30% less churn compared to flat pricing
Perceived fairnessCustomers feel they pay proportionally
Lower barrier to startPay small amounts initially
Natural expansionRevenue grows with usage

Model Selection Framework

If Your Product…Consider
Delivers value through team collaborationPer-seat
Has clear distinct segments with different needsTiered
Value scales with usageUsage-based
Needs massive adoption firstFreemium
Has simple, clear value propositionFlat-rate

Pricing Mistakes That Kill Momentum

Mistake 1: Too Many Tiers

ProblemWhy It Hurts
Decision paralysisBuyers can’t choose
Support complexityDifferent features per tier
Sales confusionReps can’t explain differences
Engineering burdenFeature gating everywhere

Fix: Start with 2-3 tiers maximum. Add tiers when data shows distinct segments.

Mistake 2: Unclear Segment (“Everyone”)

ProblemWhy It Hurts
Can’t anchor priceNo reference for value
Generic messagingDoesn’t resonate
Price competitionRace to bottom

Fix: Define your ideal customer precisely. Price for them.

Mistake 3: Discounts Without a Reason

ProblemWhy It Hurts
Trains buyers to wait”I’ll buy when there’s a sale”
Undermines value”Guess it wasn’t worth full price”
Damages brandDiscount = desperation

Fix: Only discount with a clear reason: annual prepay, early adopter, specific campaign.

Mistake 4: Hiding Price Until Late

ProblemWhy It Hurts
Wastes everyone’s timeDisqualified leads clog pipeline
Signals uncertainty”They don’t know what to charge”
Reduces trustFeels manipulative

Exception: Enterprise sales with complex requirements may legitimately need discovery first.


When to Raise Prices

Price increases are often left too late. Here’s when to pull the trigger:

Green Lights for Price Increase

SignalWhat It Means
Activation and retention are stableProduct-market fit confirmed
You can clearly explain the outcomeValue proposition is clear
New customers aren’t price sensitiveDemand is inelastic
Support burden is manageableYou can handle the volume
Features have been added since last priceMore value to price

How to Raise Prices Successfully

StepDetails
Communicate early30+ days notice minimum
Pair with valueNew features, improvements, support upgrades
Explain the whyInfrastructure costs, new investments, sustainability
Grandfather strategicallyProtect loyal customers for a period
Segment the increaseNew customers first, then renewals

Price Sensitivity Data

FindingImplication
62% of SaaS customers reconsider after 10% increaseSmall increases still need careful handling
43% churn after 20% hike without communicated valueNever raise without value story
Value communication reduces sensitivityPair every increase with new features

The Willingness-to-Pay Toolkit

Survey Methods (Quantitative)

MethodHow It WorksAccuracy
Van WestendorpFour price questions to find rangeMedium
Becker-DeGroot-MarschakAuction mechanism simulationMedium-High
Multiple price listPresent price/quantity optionsMedium
Discrete choiceForce trade-off decisionsHigh

Interview Methods (Qualitative)

ApproachQuestions to Ask
Value discovery”What would you do without this product?”
Price anchoring”What do you pay for similar solutions?”
Sensitivity probe”At what price would you definitely buy?”
Feature trade-offs”Which features matter for price?”

Behavioral Methods (Most Accurate)

MethodHow It Works
Presales/depositsMeasure actual purchase behavior
A/B price testsCompare conversion at different prices
Upgrade patternsAnalyze what triggers upgrades
Churn analysisUnderstand price as churn factor

Pricing Page Best Practices

What Works in 2026

ElementBest Practice
Number of tiers2-4 maximum
Default selectionHighlight recommended tier
Social proofCustomer logos, testimonials
ComparisonClear feature comparison table
Monthly/annual toggleShow both with annual discount
FAQAddress common objections

What to Include on Each Tier

ElementPurpose
Tier nameClear identity (Starter, Growth, Enterprise)
PriceMonthly and annual
Key differentiatorOne-line summary of who it’s for
Feature list5-8 key features per tier
CTAClear action button

What to Avoid

Anti-PatternWhy It Fails
Hidden pricingFrustrates buyers
Feature overloadConfuses decisions
No recommendationBuyers can’t choose
Complicated pricing formulaCreates uncertainty
Missing FAQObjections go unaddressed

Running Your First Pricing Experiment

Phase 1: Preparation (Week 1)

  • Define what you’re testing (price point, model, packaging)
  • Choose methodology (survey, A/B, interviews)
  • Set success criteria (conversion rate target, WTP threshold)
  • Calculate required sample size for significance

Phase 2: Execution (Week 2-4)

  • Implement the test (landing pages, surveys, interview scripts)
  • Recruit participants/segment traffic
  • Collect data with rigorous methodology
  • Monitor for issues (sample bias, technical problems)

Phase 3: Analysis (Week 5)

  • Analyze results against success criteria
  • Check for segment differences
  • Model revenue impact of different scenarios
  • Document learnings for future tests

Phase 4: Implementation (Week 6+)

  • Decide on pricing change
  • Communicate to existing customers (if applicable)
  • Update pricing page and documentation
  • Train sales/support on new pricing

FAQ

When should I raise prices?

When activation and retention are stable and you can clearly explain the outcome you deliver. If customers are churning for price reasons before that point, you have a product problem, not a pricing problem.

How do I price when I have no competitors?

Anchor to what you replace. If there’s no direct competitor, price against the cost of the status quo — manual work, lost revenue, risk, or time spent.

Should I offer a free tier?

Only if:

  • Your product has network effects or viral loops
  • Free users provide value (data, content, social proof)
  • You have a clear upgrade path
  • You can afford the support burden

How often should I change pricing?

SituationFrequency
Pre-PMFTest frequently, pricing is a learning tool
Post-PMF, growingAnnual review, change when data supports
MatureLess frequent; stability builds trust

What’s the best discount to offer for annual billing?

15-20% is typical and sustainable. More than 20% suggests your monthly price is too high. Less than 10% may not be compelling enough.

How do I handle pricing objections in sales?

  1. Understand the objection (budget, value, comparison?)
  2. Reframe around value delivered
  3. Offer alternative packaging (if legitimate fit issue)
  4. Walk away if it’s not a fit — bad-fit customers churn anyway

Implementation Checklist

Before any experiment:

  • Document current pricing and rationale
  • Identify segment(s) to test with
  • Define success metrics
  • Set timeline and review date

For survey-based experiments:

  • Choose methodology (Van Westendorp, discrete choice, etc.)
  • Write survey questions
  • Recruit minimum 50-100 respondents per segment
  • Analyze and document findings

For A/B experiments:

  • Segment traffic appropriately
  • Set up conversion tracking
  • Monitor for minimum 2 weeks
  • Check for statistical significance

After experiments:

  • Document results and learnings
  • Decide on pricing change (or keep current)
  • Plan communication strategy
  • Implement and monitor

Sources & Further Reading

Interested in our research?

We share our work openly. If you'd like to collaborate or discuss ideas — we'd love to hear from you.

Get in Touch

Let's build
something real.

No more slide decks. No more "maybe next quarter".
Let's ship your MVP in weeks.

Start Building Now